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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
Aurelius7BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)47% (267–301, n=568)45% (572–710, n=1282)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)
Consensus PnL-$7.4K$7.9M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #950PM monthly #2PM monthly #49
Sides with the consensus67% (8 of 12 open)82% (27 of 33 open)60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicElections −2 pts, n=60——
Settled positions, side won66% of 403 at avg 49¢, ROI +8%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 16% of 64)10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 39% of 64)35% (won 98% of 204)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢62% (won 83% of 249)35% (won 100% of 202)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 96% of 26)20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAurelius7BreakTheBankprimm
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $279Ravens $92K—
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $837Ravens $4