← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Aurelius7 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (267–305, n=572) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 52% (6434–6029, n=12463) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.6K | $7.9M | $3.6M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #52 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 75% (172 of 230 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=60 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 403 at avg 49¢, ROI +8% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 39% of 64) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 41% (won 99% of 418) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 83% of 249) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 49% (won 99% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 96% of 26) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.