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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Aurelius7 | BreakTheBank | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (267–305, n=572) | 45% (581–722, n=1303) | 50% (1127–1147, n=2274) | 50% (20622–20404, n=41026) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.7K | $7.3M | $3.6M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (9 of 15 open) | 88% (23 of 26 open) | 67% (12 of 18 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=60 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 404 at avg 49¢, ROI +8% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 39% of 64) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 83% of 250) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 96% of 26) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Aurelius7 | BreakTheBank | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Arizona (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | Arizona $200 | — | TCU $1.0K | — |