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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Aurelius7 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (234–175, n=409) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) |
| Consensus PnL | -$1.6K | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #945 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (10 of 18 open) | 83% (157 of 189 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | Culture −2 pts, n=23 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 388 at avg 49¢, ROI +10% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 10% (won 79% of 58) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 200) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 61% (won 84% of 237) | 35% (won 99% of 194) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 96% of 25) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Aurelius7 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $641 | No $133K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $97 | No $27K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $415 | No $632 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $97 | Yes $35K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $307 | No $31K |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $192 | No $22K |