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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | Aurelius7 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 57% (235–175, n=410) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $3.2K | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #951 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 59% (10 of 17 open) | 68% (77 of 114 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Culture −2 pts, n=23 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 67% of 388 at avg 49¢, ROI +10% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 10% (won 81% of 57) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 16% (won 40% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 201) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 61% (won 84% of 237) | 35% (won 99% of 196) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 6% (won 96% of 25) | 19% (won 100% of 109) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | Aurelius7 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.4K | No $120K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $96 | No $28K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $445 | No $607 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $100 | Yes $36K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $330 | No $34K |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $194 | No $22K |