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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AlphaBetaGamma2357 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (435–420, n=855) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 50% (1144–1155, n=2299) |
| Consensus PnL | $94K | $7.3M | $5.3M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #608 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #49 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (11 of 22 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | MLB −18 pts, n=23 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 840 at avg 49¢, ROI +4% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 16% of 141) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 39% of 339) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 59% of 203) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 87% of 157) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AlphaBetaGamma2357 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8.5K | No $42K | — | — |