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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AlphaBetaGamma2357 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (409–357, n=766) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 47% (12761–14165, n=26926) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $73K | $11.2M | $14.8M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #618 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 31% (4 of 13 open) | 69% (44 of 64 open) | 66% (78 of 118 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | MLB −18 pts, n=23 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 52% of 766 at avg 50¢, ROI +5% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 20% of 113) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 40% of 309) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 60% of 192) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 86% of 152) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AlphaBetaGamma2357 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4.3K | No $585K | — | — |