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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AlphaBetaGamma2357 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (434–419, n=853) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 52% (6403–5995, n=12398) | 45% (10–12, n=22) |
| Consensus PnL | $94K | $7.3M | $3.6M | $5.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #622 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (10 of 19 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 75% (215 of 286 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | MLB −18 pts, n=23 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 838 at avg 49¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 16% of 141) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 38% of 338) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 59% of 202) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 87% of 157) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AlphaBetaGamma2357 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8.6K | No $35K | — | — |