← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AlmostNoAwareness | Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (103–50, n=153) | 52% (6585–6162, n=12747) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 49% (1129–1155, n=2284) |
| Consensus PnL | $13K | $3.7M | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #973 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #50 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (2 of 6 open) | 70% (181 of 259 open) | 70% (55 of 79 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Tech −6 pts, n=27 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 159 at avg 65¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 21% of 29) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 26% of 19) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 75% of 16) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 87% of 95) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AlmostNoAwareness | Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $4 | Under $30K | — |