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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AlmostNoAwareness | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (100–49, n=149) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 47% (14240–15745, n=29985) |
| Consensus PnL | $13K | $7.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #988 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 84% (27 of 32 open) | 62% (82 of 133 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Tech −6 pts, n=27 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 159 at avg 65¢, ROI +8% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 21% of 29) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 26% of 19) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 75% of 16) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 87% of 95) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AlmostNoAwareness | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | Raptors $450 | Bucks $41 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Timberwolves $367 | Timberwolves $1.0K |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | — | Raptors $122 | Raptors $540 |