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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AlanCurtis | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (209–178, n=387) | 52% (6551–6119, n=12670) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $22K | $3.7M | $5.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #893 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #97 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 69% (229 of 330 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (58 of 82 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 70% of 382 at avg 46¢, ROI 0% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 37% (won 31% of 143) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 81% of 79) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 98% of 61) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 26% (won 100% of 99) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AlanCurtis | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.9K | — | Under $30K |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $595 | — | Under $6.6K |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Arsenal FC | — | Hull City AFC $2.5K | — | Hull City AFC $2.9K |