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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Ackbar | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (19–19, n=38) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | -$21K | $9.4M | $4.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #746 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (7 of 7 open) | 62% (18 of 29 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 60% (135 of 225 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 34 at avg 51¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 44% of 9) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 74% (won 60% of 25) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Ackbar | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $5.0K | Jazz $31K | — | Pelicans $126 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $19K | — | Pelicans $121 |
| Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $9.5K | — | — | Under $147 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $4.8K | — | — | Under $371 |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $5.2K | — | — | Kings $253 |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $5.1K | — | — | Over $255 |
| Spread: Rockets (-7.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $5.0K | — | — | Timberwolves $126 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) same side · consensus Pacers | — | Grizzlies $346 | — | Grizzlies $118 |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $66 | — | Hawks $128 |