PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ARTEM-DZYUBARN1BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)94% (4923–340, n=5263)48% (12359–13260, n=25619)45% (516–628, n=1144)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$20K$13.4M$10.6M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #953PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus60% (3 of 5 open)59% (51 of 87 open)66% (35 of 53 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=83, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=278, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 1208 at avg 90¢, ROI +4%94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 530 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 57% of 7)10% (won 56% of 2507)10% (won 83% of 54)0%
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 80% of 41)22% (won 94% of 5408)35% (won 98% of 188)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 90% of 123)36% (won 99% of 8790)34% (won 99% of 182)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up86% (won 100% of 1037)31% (won 100% of 7551)20% (won 100% of 106)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketARTEM-DZYUBARN1BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Wizards $260Hornets $20K—
Sioux Falls: Max Hans Rehberg vs Sebastian Dominko
opposite sides · consensus Sebastian Dominko
Max Hans Rehberg $5Sebastian Dominko $7.3K——
Guayaquil: Valerio Aboian vs Nick Hardt
opposite sides · consensus Valerio Aboian
Valerio Aboian $10Nick Hardt $404——
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. CD Unión La Calera: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $249Over $16——