PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ARTEM-DZYUBA00gringo00RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)94% (4675–294, n=4969)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12136–12968, n=25104)45% (514–627, n=1141)
Consensus PnL$18K$3.5M$13.4M$10.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #988was PM monthly #19PM monthly #16 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus50% (3 of 6 open)no open consensus position61% (19 of 31 open)70% (28 of 40 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 1208 at avg 90¢, ROI +4%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 57% of 7)0%10% (won 56% of 2478)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 80% of 41)0%22% (won 94% of 5361)35% (won 98% of 181)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 90% of 123)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8705)34% (won 99% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up86% (won 100% of 1037)0%31% (won 100% of 7425)20% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketARTEM-DZYUBA00gringo00RN1BreakTheBank
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym
opposite sides · consensus Jerome Kym
Ben Shelton $8—Jerome Kym $79K—
Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov
opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl
Liam Draxl $8—Daniil Ostapenkov $2.1K—
W100 New Braunfels, TX: Madison Brengle vs Yuki Naito
same side · consensus Yuki Naito
Yuki Naito $2—Yuki Naito $576—
W35 Norman, OK: Gloriana Nahum vs Briana Szabo
same side · consensus Briana Szabo
Briana Szabo $7—Briana Szabo $331—