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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AMike | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 80% (12–3, n=15) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) |
| Consensus PnL | -$3.0K | $9.4M | $3.3M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #726 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #140 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 52% (11 of 21 open) | 68% (182 of 266 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +13% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 0% of 4) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 33% (won 80% of 5) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 100% of 6) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AMike | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $8.1K | Celtics $215 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | — | Jazz $217 | Jazz $4 | — |