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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AML | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4–3, n=7) | 58% (21–15, n=36) | 71% (2770–1157, n=3927) | 53% (513–456, n=969) |
| Consensus PnL | $362K | $886K | $526K | $592K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #152 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #55 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 43% (51 of 118 open) | 51% (20 of 39 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=564 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 22 at avg 48¢, ROI +53% | 42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3% | 74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 42% (won 5% of 495) | 12% (won 40% of 83) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 59% (won 100% of 13) | 22% (won 39% of 266) | 23% (won 65% of 158) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 32% (won 100% of 7) | 11% (won 64% of 134) | 44% (won 77% of 300) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 25% (won 94% of 296) | 20% (won 99% of 135) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AML | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | — | — | Ole Miss $1.6K | Oklahoma $507 |
| Panthers vs. Saints same side · consensus Panthers | — | — | Panthers $3.1K | Panthers $223 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | — | Colts $49 | Colts $3 |