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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AML | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | MD14 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4–3, n=7) | 71% (2770–1157, n=3927) | 52% (583–536, n=1119) | 84% (26–5, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $362K | $526K | $404K | $341K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #152 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #126 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 43% (51 of 118 open) | 68% (34 of 50 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=564 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 90% of 29 at avg 72¢, ROI +20% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 42% (won 5% of 495) | 2% (won 100% of 5) | 3% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 39% of 266) | 31% (won 100% of 84) | 10% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 11% (won 64% of 134) | 60% (won 100% of 161) | 21% (won 83% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 25% (won 94% of 296) | 7% (won 100% of 20) | 66% (won 95% of 19) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AML | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | MD14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Falcons opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Falcons $174 | Chiefs $8.7K | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $303 | Vikings $6.7K | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $629 | Seahawks $1.5K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | Colts $2.0K | — |