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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
95deBreakTheBankgoogleplayHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)58% (7–5, n=12)57% (28–21, n=49)50% (6–6, n=12)53% (307–269, n=576)
Consensus PnL-$469$758K$423K$308K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #993PM monthly #2PM monthly #17PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (12 of 24 open)no open consensus position67% (100 of 149 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=22, ROI +45%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 31 at avg 52¢, ROI +46%100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢—0%0%1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—48% (won 100% of 15)17% (won 100% of 1)30% (won 100% of 49)
Entries 50–70¢—45% (won 100% of 14)83% (won 100% of 5)62% (won 100% of 101)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 2)0%8% (won 100% of 13)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market95deBreakTheBankgoogleplayHomeRunHazard
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $380K—Commanders $2.6K
Raptors vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Raptors $126K—76ers $37K
Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5.5K—Under $6.8K
Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $9—Under $3
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Giants $46K—Giants $612
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $230—Raptors $21