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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 739633786 | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 89% (305–39, n=344) | no settled market | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | -$120K | — | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #946 | — | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 17% (1 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 60% (109 of 181 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 373 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | — | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 2) | — | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 53% (won 97% of 196) | — | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 47% (won 98% of 175) | — | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | — | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 739633786 | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Pistons $1.2K | — | — | 76ers $240 |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Bucks $1.0K | — | — | Bucks $147 |