PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
38791873984189beachboy4RN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)44% (3518–4461, n=7979)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12302–13184, n=25486)62% (386–233, n=619)
Consensus PnL-$21K$5.8M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #960was PM monthly #24PM monthly #23 + pinnedPM monthly #78
Sides with the consensus63% (58 of 92 open)100% (2 of 2 open)83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won—57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2507)9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢—29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5408)56% (won 99% of 214)
Entries 50–70¢—54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8790)34% (won 100% of 129)
Entries 70¢ and up—14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7551)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market38791873984189beachboy4RN1CORGII
Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
opposite sides · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva
Emilio Camacho $658—Joao Lucas Da Silva $9.7K—
Pan Pacific Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez
opposite sides · consensus Elena Rybakina
Elena Rybakina $4.0K—Leylah Fernandez $131—
Pan Pacific Open: Mia Pohankova vs Alycia Parks
same side · consensus Mia Pohankova
Mia Pohankova $3.1K—Mia Pohankova $47K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $961—No $7.7K—
W35 Kunshan: Sijia Wei vs Priska Madelyn Nugroho
same side · consensus Sijia Wei
Sijia Wei $146—Sijia Wei $510—