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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
2HAEferrariChampions2026joseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)67% (896–434, n=1330)43% (11774–15353, n=27127)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (19652–21409, n=41061)
Consensus PnL$8.4K-$9.5M$3.2M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #885was PM monthly #87PM monthly #7PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)73% (11 of 15 open)no open consensus position59% (16 of 27 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won88% of 764 at avg 74¢, ROI +11%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 37% of 19)4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 54% of 52)26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 85% of 168)40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up69% (won 94% of 525)30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market2HAEferrariChampions2026joseph00677RN1
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
opposite sides · consensus Adrian Andreev
—Adrian Andreev $21K—Nikita Mashtakov $24K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo
same side · consensus Tomas Machac
—Tomas Machac $24K—Tomas Machac $17K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Cameron Norrie
—Cameron Norrie $15K—Cameron Norrie $19K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360