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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026crmannetjeFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3634–6648, n=10282)52% (23–21, n=44)52% (6399–5911, n=12310)65% (896–472, n=1368)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$45K$3.3M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #772PM monthly #499PM monthly #22PM monthly #100
Sides with the consensus86% (6 of 7 open)100% (2 of 2 open)73% (126 of 173 open)76% (31 of 41 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Soccer −18 pts, n=17Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—59% of 41 at avg 47¢, ROI +20%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—27% (won 27% of 11)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 60% of 10)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 67% of 15)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—12% (won 100% of 5)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026crmannetjeFlaznorpndb1
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $235—Clippers $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.3K—Under $14K—
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $963—Clippers $103—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic
same side · consensus Xinyu Wang
Xinyu Wang $418—Xinyu Wang $231—
Big Bash League, Women: Adelaide Strikers vs Brisbane Heat
same side · consensus Adelaide Strikers
Adelaide Strikers $41—Adelaide Strikers $5—