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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpmachbutprimm
Record (consensus markets)35% (3647–6671, n=10318)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)59% (22–15, n=37)50% (1105–1118, n=2223)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$3.3M$30K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #431PM monthly #24was PM monthly #879PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus76% (16 of 21 open)71% (183 of 258 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%71% of 31 at avg 71¢, ROI +2%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 0% of 3)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)16% (won 40% of 5)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)16% (won 60% of 5)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)58% (won 94% of 18)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpmachbutprimm
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Rinderknech
Arthur Rinderknech $32KBen Shelton $8.1K——
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $34KOlympique de Marseille $1.0K——
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Kilian Feldbausch $515Remy Bertola $835——
Luanda: Madhurima Sawant vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
Madhurima Sawant $12Noma Noha Akugue $20——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.3KUnder $14K——
Taranto: Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Grenier
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
Sumit Nagal $9.2KSumit Nagal $5.1K——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea $7.9KSorana Cirstea $6.3K——
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.4KUnder $180——
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
Lorenzo Musetti $349Lorenzo Musetti $438——
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
Matej Dodig $81Matej Dodig $663——
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs
same side · consensus GamerLegion
GamerLegion $253GamerLegion $20——
Nepal Premier League: Lumbini Lions vs Janakpur Bolts
same side · consensus Lumbini Lions
Lumbini Lions $125Lumbini Lions $56——