← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | pIebe | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (3639–6643, n=10282) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 70% (712–304, n=1016) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.0M | $7.9M | $5.3M | $1.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #122 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #195 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (10 of 17 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 80% (132 of 166 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 71% of 941 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 22% (won 6% of 204) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 6% (won 48% of 54) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 6% (won 53% of 55) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 67% (won 96% of 628) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | pIebe |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $53K | — | Yes $21K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $37K | — | No $199 |