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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Ariola76Flaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)35% (3647–6671, n=10318)no settled market52% (6506–6010, n=12516)50% (1105–1118, n=2223)
Consensus PnL$3.0M—$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #478PM monthly #383PM monthly #24PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus61% (11 of 18 open)no open consensus position73% (162 of 222 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won——56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢——29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢——16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢——16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up——39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Ariola76Flaznorpprimm
Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Thomas Faurel
opposite sides · consensus Maxim Mrva
Thomas Faurel $615—Maxim Mrva $3.5K—
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $486—Olympique de Marseille $468—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.3K—Under $14K—
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
Coleman Wong $5.2K—Coleman Wong $4.6K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea $650—Sorana Cirstea $273—
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti $349—Lorenzo Musetti $438—
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola
same side · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Remy Bertola $157—Remy Bertola $565—
ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs Afghanistan Under-19s
same side · consensus Afghanistan Under-19s
Afghanistan Under-19s $178—Afghanistan Under-19s $5—
Nepal Premier League: Lumbini Lions vs Janakpur Bolts
same side · consensus Lumbini Lions
Lumbini Lions $125—Lumbini Lions $56—
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
Matej Dodig $71—Matej Dodig $8—