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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 0xfda1fa1672697944f9e78479837fedac44e3416c | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 54% (441–371, n=812) | 58% (11–8, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $849 | $325K | $769K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #164 | PM monthly #148 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 56% (104 of 186 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | 92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 13% (won 40% of 81) | 8% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 24% (won 62% of 144) | 58% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 43% (won 74% of 261) | 33% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 98% of 119) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xfda1fa1672697944f9e78479837fedac44e3416c | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida vs. Kentucky opposite sides · consensus Kentucky | Kentucky $515 | Florida $4.6K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers same side · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $468 | Mavericks $143 | — |