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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xfFFF6537 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (74–96, n=170) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) |
| Consensus PnL | $54K | $7.3M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #904 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 78% (29 of 37 open) | 67% (20 of 30 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Crypto −5 pts, n=117 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 40% of 185 at avg 43¢, ROI −6% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 12% of 65) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 27% of 59) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 41% (won 99% of 418) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 67% of 33) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 49% (won 99% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 15% (won 100% of 28) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xfFFF6537 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska vs. Illinois opposite sides · consensus Nebraska | Illinois $1.4K | — | Nebraska $594 |
| South Florida vs. East Carolina opposite sides · consensus South Florida | East Carolina $1.2K | — | South Florida $39 |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $47 | Grizzlies $148K | — |