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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xfFFF6537BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)40% (489–739, n=1228)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (11774–15353, n=27127)55% (13343–10705, n=24048)
Consensus PnL$72K$8.4M-$9.5M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #609PM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (29 of 33 open)75% (9 of 12 open)66% (78 of 119 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicCrypto −3 pts, n=916——NFL −24 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won39% of 1018 at avg 41¢, ROI −6%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 13% of 345)10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 31% of 371)36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 73% of 211)35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 99% of 91)20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xfFFF6537BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet
opposite sides · consensus Ugo Blanchet
——Ugo Blanchet $3.7KBuvaysar Gadamauri $5.8K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $141Yes $2.8K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Cameron Norrie
——Cameron Norrie $15KCameron Norrie $9.2K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
same side · consensus Alex Michelsen
——Alex Michelsen $13KAlex Michelsen $4.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $13K
Orleans: Edas Butvilas vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel
same side · consensus Cosme Rolland De Ravel
——Cosme Rolland De Ravel $9.3KCosme Rolland De Ravel $308