Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf73f7E9C6bd1f40dC045d2a93BeC3Dd4248AEE5BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)no settled market95% (310–15, n=325)49% (33–34, n=67)no settled market
Consensus PnL$0$8.4M$35K—
Tracked aswas PM monthly #974PM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)84% (32 of 38 open)70% (176 of 253 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicGeopolitics −8 pts, n=31—NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won64% of 3120 at avg 46¢, ROI +6%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢43% (won 26% of 1357)10% (won 82% of 60)30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 81% of 317)36% (won 98% of 212)15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 92% of 393)35% (won 100% of 205)14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 97% of 1053)20% (won 100% of 116)42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf73f7E9C6bd1f40dC045d2a93BeC3Dd4248AEE5BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $217KBills $77—