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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf12Dbd6332Cb0Ef7e2298559C8A7c4D083e10272-1779599007737fantasy7788HomeRunHazardVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (21–15, n=36)52% (560–514, n=1074)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL—$886K$410K$475K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #944PM monthly #19PM monthly #9PM monthly #71
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position64% (47 of 74 open)50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 22 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 3 at avg 63¢, ROI +16%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 100% of 1)2% (won 100% of 5)33% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—59% (won 100% of 13)31% (won 100% of 84)0%
Entries 50–70¢—32% (won 100% of 7)60% (won 100% of 161)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 20)67% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf12Dbd6332Cb0Ef7e2298559C8A7c4D083e10272-1779599007737fantasy7788HomeRunHazardVirIntrepidus
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Patriots $6.1KLions $1.3K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $8.8KChiefs $6.2K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $7.9KVikings $4.8K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $6.7KVikings $5.4K