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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 95% (310–15, n=325) | no settled market | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$13K | $8.4M | — | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #378 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #10 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (25 of 37 open) | 84% (32 of 38 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (45 of 65 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 356 at avg 52¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 16% of 83) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 7% (won 99% of 3291) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 40% of 84) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 18% (won 100% of 9212) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 56% of 90) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 96% of 99) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 56% (won 100% of 27970) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $15K | Yes $69K | — | — |