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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (192–124, n=316) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 45% (10–12, n=22) |
| Consensus PnL | $217K | $7.9M | $5.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #332 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (26 of 35 open) | 83% (25 of 30 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=131 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 349 at avg 52¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 15% of 81) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 40% of 80) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 26% (won 55% of 89) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 96% of 99) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $14K | Yes $79K | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | Yes $834 | Yes $2 | — |