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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)61% (192–124, n=316)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$217K$7.9M$3.5M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #332PM monthly #3PM monthly #22PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus74% (26 of 35 open)81% (22 of 27 open)76% (193 of 253 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicGeopolitics −2 pts, n=131—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won54% of 349 at avg 52¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢23% (won 15% of 81)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 40% of 80)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 55% of 89)35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 96% of 99)20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $14KYes $79K——
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
Yes $834Yes $2——