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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)61% (196–125, n=321)41% (616–869, n=1485)55% (13369–10733, n=24102)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)
Consensus PnL$225K$8.4M$1.4M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #349PM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #41
Sides with the consensus73% (27 of 37 open)88% (29 of 33 open)66% (93 of 140 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicGeopolitics −1 pts, n=134—NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won54% of 356 at avg 52¢, ROI +2%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢23% (won 16% of 83)10% (won 82% of 60)30% (won 9% of 919)5% (won 95% of 59)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 40% of 84)36% (won 98% of 212)15% (won 37% of 455)40% (won 99% of 512)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 56% of 90)35% (won 100% of 205)14% (won 63% of 439)50% (won 100% of 633)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 96% of 99)20% (won 100% of 116)42% (won 94% of 1302)5% (won 100% of 65)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $15KYes $69K——