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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xce370ebcbc655f845df7dfb8c079e75b5ea17d93BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)50% (35–35, n=70)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)64% (1097–630, n=1727)
Consensus PnL-$4.7K$7.6M$4.1M$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000PM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #98
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position89% (32 of 36 open)66% (131 of 198 open)73% (113 of 154 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won40% of 40 at avg 46¢, ROI −14%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 16)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 20% of 5)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 63% of 8)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 82% of 11)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xce370ebcbc655f845df7dfb8c079e75b5ea17d93BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $16KNo $7.4K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $409K—No $337K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $292K—Yes $11K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $41KNo $18K
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $28No $115