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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)71% (205–83, n=288)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL-$107K$3.5M$5.3M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #969PM monthly #21PM monthly #2PM monthly #106
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (195 of 277 open)no open consensus position74% (82 of 111 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicCrypto −1 pts, n=28Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won71% of 249 at avg 65¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 19% of 36)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 51% of 37)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 74% of 43)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up53% (won 90% of 133)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.