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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xC84e712F3C47A7532BE17f758fE6Bd45695cA5D2-1779887461766keeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (671–742, n=1413)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL$0$890K$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #985PM monthly #14PM monthly #57
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position61% (44 of 72 open)44% (4 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 100% of 23)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—34% (won 100% of 159)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 100% of 243)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—9% (won 100% of 42)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xC84e712F3C47A7532BE17f758fE6Bd45695cA5D2-1779887461766keeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Patriots vs. Lions
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Patriots $29KLions $17K
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Packers $15KVikings $6.5K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $15KChiefs $6.3K
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
—Patriots $413Lions $4.0K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $14KVikings $8.3K