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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50AFlaznorpjoseph00677S-Works
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (33–34, n=67)no settled market67% (4–2, n=6)
Consensus PnL-$15K$35K—-$82K
Tracked asPM monthly #472PM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus82% (200 of 245 open)70% (175 of 251 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won18% of 137 at avg 6¢, ROI +14%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢91% (won 10% of 124)30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢0%15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 100% of 13)14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up0%42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50AFlaznorpjoseph00677S-Works
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.4K——No $2.4M