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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x91c6d572e85be51494ce8b8a030e4e587b196bf7BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market41% (587–850, n=1437)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)63% (1014–591, n=1605)
Consensus PnL—$7.6M$3.7M$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #852PM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #91
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (28 of 32 open)76% (223 of 293 open)73% (67 of 92 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won0% of 1 at avg 1¢, ROI 0%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢100% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢0%36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢0%35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up0%20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x91c6d572e85be51494ce8b8a030e4e587b196bf7BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $109KUnder $6.4K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.2KUnder $34K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $409K—No $337K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $280K—Yes $11K