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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7d3b7ff761d046f5dc1d972e8a755dc1eccf55b8joseph00677RN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (10–12, n=22)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL—$5.3M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #904PM monthly #3PM monthly #33 + pinnedPM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)no open consensus position54% (33 of 61 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic———Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won76% of 123 at avg 73¢, ROI +10%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢0%12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 50% of 2)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 58% of 52)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 91% of 69)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7d3b7ff761d046f5dc1d972e8a755dc1eccf55b8joseph00677RN1S-Works
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $990—No $8.6K—
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.8K—Yes $1.9K—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $172—Yes $1.5K—