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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x776f7fb93be970D678068E00674B54af0FF10478-1771711639781ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)16% (6–31, n=37)35% (3667–6666, n=10333)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)63% (993–578, n=1571)
Consensus PnL$113K$3.1M$3.6M$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #951PM monthly #127PM monthly #11PM monthly #97
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)78% (21 of 27 open)75% (177 of 237 open)71% (52 of 73 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144
Settled positions, side won37% of 19 at avg 24¢, ROI +32%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢74% (won 14% of 14)—29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 100% of 2)—16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 100% of 2)—16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 1)—39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x776f7fb93be970D678068E00674B54af0FF10478-1771711639781ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
opposite sides · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
—Francesco Maestrelli $8.5KCarlo Alberto Caniato $18—
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Taylor Fritz $3.4KCarlos Alcaraz $4.3K—
Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.8KOver $23—
Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $565Over $3.0K—
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
—Leyre Romero Gormaz $3.0KJulia Riera $64—
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $1.4K76ers $188—
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.1KOver $3—
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
—Luca Van Assche $145KLuca Van Assche $35K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Aidan Mayo $6.2KAidan Mayo $3.8K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Celtics $1.9KCeltics $222—
FC Eindhoven vs. Jong Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $375Under $1.2K—
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Wizards $512Wizards $172—
Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs tao toma (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage
same side · consensus tao toma
—tao toma $86tao toma $1—