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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x72d15794cef9DD3171442A1CDa3084EB58e85a60-1779887246239BreakTheBankfantasy7788Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (28–21, n=49)50% (9–9, n=18)74% (1430–496, n=1926)
Consensus PnL$0$758K$435K$298K
Tracked asPM monthly #973PM monthly #1PM monthly #40PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position38% (6 of 16 open)no open consensus position68% (150 of 222 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=22, ROI +45%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———College Basketball −3 pts, n=123
Settled positions, side won—100% of 31 at avg 52¢, ROI +46%100% of 10 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—0%10% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 5% of 159)
Entries 30–50¢—48% (won 100% of 15)50% (won 100% of 5)24% (won 43% of 119)
Entries 50–70¢—45% (won 100% of 14)30% (won 100% of 3)14% (won 61% of 70)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 2)10% (won 100% of 1)29% (won 95% of 142)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x72d15794cef9DD3171442A1CDa3084EB58e85a60-1779887246239BreakTheBankfantasy7788Flaznorp
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $139K—76ers $7.3K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $26K—76ers $189
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Raptors $97—76ers $72
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—Raptors $37K—Raptors $278
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—Raptors $217—Raptors $367