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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816Flaznorpjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)82% (5576–1226, n=6802)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)
Consensus PnL$20K$3.3M$5.6M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #332PM monthly #22PM monthly #3PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (225 of 334 open)no open consensus position69% (27 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicCrypto −3 pts, n=368Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won88% of 6116 at avg 55¢, ROI +31%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 74% of 314)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 81% of 2458)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 93% of 2192)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 99% of 1152)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816Flaznorpjoseph00677primm
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
same side · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $60—Eastern Michigan $417