Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)82% (5571–1226, n=6797)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (889–469, n=1358)
Consensus PnL$20K$3.3M$5.6M$4.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #351PM monthly #16PM monthly #1PM monthly #140
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)66% (166 of 251 open)no open consensus position73% (33 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicCrypto −3 pts, n=368Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won88% of 6116 at avg 55¢, ROI +31%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 74% of 314)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 81% of 2458)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 93% of 2192)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 99% of 1152)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.