Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6BE68b475d7B0f0382912C59A669B6C3E29339A0-1779887477443fantasy7788FlaznorpVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)no settled market55% (22–18, n=40)71% (2823–1176, n=3999)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL$0$883K$529K$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #995PM monthly #18PM monthly #8PM monthly #57
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position52% (124 of 237 open)56% (5 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic——College Basketball −4 pts, n=204—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 22 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 6% of 531)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—59% (won 100% of 13)24% (won 38% of 315)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢—32% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 61% of 150)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 94% of 320)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6BE68b475d7B0f0382912C59A669B6C3E29339A0-1779887477443fantasy7788FlaznorpVirIntrepidus
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Falcons $165Chiefs $6.4K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $303Vikings $6.2K
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
——Cowboys $16Cowboys $283