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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | morito181 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 69% (533–239, n=772) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $1.1M | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #141 + pinned | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #22 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 76% (120 of 157 open) | 70% (28 of 40 open) | 58% (56 of 97 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=19 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 71% of 920 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 22% (won 6% of 201) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 5% (won 43% of 47) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 6% (won 54% of 57) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 67% (won 96% of 615) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | morito181 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $11K | No $943 | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $13K | No $2.0M | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | — | No $33K | No $1.5M | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $16K | No $239K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $6 | Yes $442 | — |