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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241Multicoloured-SerfRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)48% (217–237, n=454)47% (14377–16003, n=30380)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$3.5M-$64K$14.8M$4.4M
Tracked as—PM monthly #18PM monthly #23 + pinned—
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (9 of 12 open)58% (55 of 95 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%100% of 178 at avg 52¢, ROI +50%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)0%10% (won 57% of 2606)0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)47% (won 100% of 83)22% (won 94% of 5665)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)46% (won 100% of 82)36% (won 99% of 9185)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)7% (won 100% of 13)32% (won 100% of 8345)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241Multicoloured-SerfRN1sainttroplay
Will Watford FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $79Yes $409—
Ducks vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Ducks
—Ducks $42KDucks $614—
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $11Under $793—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $17Under $353—