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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | Newshound | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 71% (692–276, n=968) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $11.0M | $4.1M | $65K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #929 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 60% (40 of 67 open) | 73% (27 of 37 open) | 45% (14 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 72% of 968 at avg 59¢, ROI +9% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 23% (won 23% of 218) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 13% (won 65% of 124) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 17% (won 76% of 169) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 47% (won 95% of 457) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.