Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4BreakTheBankTheWindKnowsmyName
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market46% (560–665, n=1225)70% (166–71, n=237)
Consensus PnL——$11.2M-$96K
Tracked as——PM monthly #2was PM monthly #953
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position48% (10 of 21 open)56% (135 of 239 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • MMA +29 pts n=95, ROI +29%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won——97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 127 at avg 68¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢——10% (won 81% of 57)9% (won 64% of 11)
Entries 30–50¢——36% (won 98% of 201)17% (won 95% of 21)
Entries 50–70¢——35% (won 99% of 196)14% (won 94% of 18)
Entries 70¢ and up——19% (won 100% of 109)61% (won 99% of 77)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4BreakTheBankTheWindKnowsmyName
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $16KYes $1.6K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $15KNo $312