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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankFlaznorpifyouloveme
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (546–663, n=1209)53% (5701–5137, n=10838)54% (278–239, n=517)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$3.3M$42K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #22PM monthly #283
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (36 of 53 open)73% (135 of 185 open)65% (61 of 94 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Tech +11 pts n=90, ROI +9%
  • NFL +3 pts n=46, ROI −1%
  • Politics +7 pts n=26, ROI +2%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=82
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%50% of 455 at avg 47¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)38% (won 15% of 175)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)16% (won 52% of 71)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)16% (won 58% of 73)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)30% (won 90% of 136)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankFlaznorpifyouloveme
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $279K—Yes $1.5K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $7.6K—Yes $572
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $7.7KYes $56
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.6K—Yes $22
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $2—Yes $2.5K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $241K—Yes $5.8K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $50K—Yes $20
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5.8K—Yes $7.7K
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $845—No $5.3K